Palmeiras plays at home in the Cup to try to be on top of the Group 7. This group is complicated now because Atletico Nacional defeated Cerro Porte?±o 5-1 last night and Cerro Porte?±o and Palmeiras have 4 points, so Atletico Nacional is on top with 6 points.

Palmeiras could be very complicated to qualify if they dont win this match or get a positive result.

The match will be played in Parque Antarctica, it is expected more than 30.000 people in the stadium.

Palmeiras had a home win in Copa Libertadores in the previous match against Atl. Nacional 3-2 and one draw against Cerro Porte?±o away (0-0).

The coach wants to defend with 5 players and to attack with 5, it means they will put a 3-4-1-2 system in the field.

Palmeiras defeated Portuguesa in the Campeonato Paulista (2-1) and is the leader of this tournament.

For this match Thiago Gomes wont play and the defensive line will be Daniel, Gamarra and Douglas.

Paulo Baier will play in the midfield replacing Correa, Claudio will replace Enilton in the attacking line.

Rosario Central will play this match without points in this competition and a defeat will let them out of the cup.

The most important news are Diaz out of the team, Rivarola is injured and Coudet will play from start but he is injured. The goalkeeper will be Castellano, after being sent off against Atletico Nacional he can play this match.

In the argentine league, Rosario Central draw 1-1 against Racing in the last match, they have scored ONLY 4 goals in all the season. Coach Astrada will have its international debut in this match.

I think Asian Handicap -1.25 is big enough to discourage bettors from giving a shot, but there are some important info to take into consideration: Central have concealed 10 goals so far in the local league (more than 1 in average) and 3 goals in Copa Libertadores in 2 matches. With ONLY 4 goals scored so far it is not a team to fear when attacking.

I think taking -1.25 handicap with a 8/10 confidence is a good bet. Palmeiras will try to get a win to enter to next round.

PALMEIRAS: S?©rgio; Daniel, Gamarra e Douglas; Paulo Baier, Marcinho Guerreiro, Alceu, Marcinho, L??cio; Cl??udio, Edmundo

CENTRAL: Hern??n Castellano; Moreira, Loseschbor, Ronald Raldes Villagra; Coudet, Borzani,Di Maria, Eluchans; Pablo Vitti , Marco Ruben

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Goias is the leader in the Group 3 in Copa Libertadores after defeating 2-0 to Union Espa?±ola (Chile) away and The Strongest (Bolivia) at home 2-0.

They will play against Newells (Argentina). With 6 points Goias is the sole leader in the league table of this group with a perfect record so far.

Goias will play with a 3-4-1-2 system, with almost the same players playing the previous 2 matches in this group.

Goias is a very disciplined team not desperate to score and with great ball control. Some keys to score are mid-range shots, they score in almost all the matches in this way.

In a defensive level they arent weak, because in 4 matches in Copa Libertadores (they played a playoff against Deportivo Cuenca before entering the groups) only 1 goal was concealed (1-1 against Cuenca away).

Key players are Romerito, Jadilson and Welliton.

Newells lost the chance to be on top of the league last weekend in the local league after having a good performance of two consecutive wins (against Arsenal and Velez), they were defeated against Estudiantes in a very balanced match.

The best about Newells in this match is Zapata returning to the team and Spolli. With Zapata on field, Newells lost only one match this season (against The Strongest in Bolivia), he is key in the midfield to recover the ball, he does the "dirty" job giving more space to Belluschi and Cejas to create some goal chances.

Another good info about Newells is scoring, they scored in all the matches this season except against Colon (even in the friendlies in the summer). With 18 goals scored in 11 matches (2 matches in Libertadores + 9 matches in local league) it is a good average.

For this match Newells will play with the best possible team, this team defeated Velez at home 1-0 and in Copa Libertadores defeated Union Espa?±ola 2-0 for example.

I think this match will be very dynamic, even Goias didnt give some advantage in the defense, Newells is an expert to create goal chances to hard teams like River or Velez.

Goias is not a team with pressure in the midfield, so Newells will pass the ball with ease.

I think OVER betting is a good bet in this match, I think it will be very open and both teams should score. I think 6/10 confidence in this bet is very probable.

GOIAS: Harlei, Vitor, Rogerio Correa, Fabio Bahia, Jadilson, Danilo Portugal, Cleber, Nonato, Romerito, Welliton, Souza.

NEWELLS: Villar, Gavilan, Aguirre, Spolli, Re, Cejas, Colace, Zapata, Belluschi, Ortega, Scocco.

Velez will have this match at home, after a perfect record in Copa Libertadores, 3 matches, 3 wins, 2 wins were away (Against LDU 3-1 in Ecuador and last week in Peru against Universitario 1-0).

Velez will have many important changes in the first squad, because Leandro Gracian will be on the bench, being replaced by young player Dario Ocampo. Another changes will be Mariano Uglessich replacing Pellegrino (injured), but this player played against River and then was injured.

Remember goalkeeper Sessa is injured, also Centurion and Bustos (he was injured in the previous match), so the midfield will have Sena playing in the right. Another change will be Damian Escudero playing in the right, this young player played the previous match against Banfield (1-0).At least Somoza will play from start, giving a more balanced midfield.

Emmanuel Francou could be playing from start, but Castroman is sure to play from start.

Velez have 9 points, they are on top in Group 5, a win will put them in the next round, it is important to have a good record in the cup to play all the important matches at home in the following rounds.

Universitario is in big crisis, the coach is about to be sacked for almost more than one month.

For this match he made some changes (mainly in the defense) removing the team Captain Guadalupe (he is a central defender, played the previous match against Velez in Peru), and players like Bernales, Pereda, Flores and Maldonado.

He will put some young players to being able to get a positive result in Buenos Aires.

Some of the excluded players for this match are "waiting for a sad defeat" to sack the coach.

Not the best moment for Amador Sanchez to put a different squad against Velez this round.

Velez have received only 3 goals in Liniers this season (San Lorenzo, Gimnasia and River), then they have scored 7 goals + 3 goals against Rocha in Copa Libertadores.

About this formation, Velez is not desperate to win the match, they will have a good ball control like always, looking at the previous match played in Peru (even Velez won 1-0 and played very defensive) it was a very balanced match and both teams had some goal chances.

I think in my opinion there are more than 60 percent of chances of getting an UNDER betting match, mainly because Velez played last weekend, some players are new and adapting to the team like Escudero, Ocampo and Francou and they arent DESPERATE to win the match.

Looking at the stats this season, Velez had 7 UNDERS in the league, and 2 OVERS, in Copa Libertadores 2 OVER-s and 1 UNDER. At Home in 6 matches 4 UNDERS and 2 OVERS.

Universitario will bet to win the match, but Velez is undefeated at home this season, so it will be a miracle.

VELEZ: Peratta, Ladino, Alcaraz, Pellerano, Bustamante, Sena, Somoza, Escudero, Ocampo, Castroman, Mauro Zarate.

UNIVERSITARIO: Carvallo, Herrera, Lozada, Centurion, Moisela, Cevasco, Ruiz, Alonso, Alva, Sangoy, Maceratesi.

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Velez has learned about the mistakes done in the past seasons. Playing both tournaments with almost the same team and being defeated in Copa Sudamericana and the local league.

Last season even Castroman injured and Velez lost everything. It was a "do or nothing" bet.

This season the coach planned to build two teams, one for the local league and other for the Copa Libertadores, at this point the top priority in the club.

For this tournament, the coach Russo will put all the best players in the team, they dont play the league matches, so they are really rested, and it works, because in the last three matches, Velez won 3. Two for the local league and 1 for the Copa Libertadores against Liga Deportiva Universitaria, in Quito, Ecuador.

With perfect form, the coach will have this time the first match at home in a rather easy group in Libertadores, against Rocha.

This is a very small club in Uruguay, formed 6 years ago, and they surprised the Uruguayan soccer, being the last champion. It was the first club in Uruguay winning the title, without being a club in the Capital City, Montevideo. They are from Maldonado.

They have played one match in the Copa Libertadores so far, against Universitario, it was a 0-0 match, very balanced and with fewer scoring chances.

By the way, Velez scored 3 goals in the last match against LDU, in a very hard match, but being well played in the attacking line.

In Argentina, Gracian-Castroman-Zarate are one of the most attacking trio, and when they are in the first squad, Velez almost always score.

Somoza is another guy very important in the team, he even scored in Libertadores and the local league.

Velez plays this match with high confidence, 3 matches won in the last 3 games, perfect record. Last year, they played 3 matches in Sudamericana and it was undefeated at home.

I think Velez will win 3 points to stay on top of the group and the coach will start thinking in the local league.

VELEZ: Gastón Sessa, Fabián Cubero, Maximiliano Pellegrino, Hernán Pellerano, Marcelo Bustamante, Maximiliano Bustos, Leandro Somoza, Ariel Broggi, Leandro Gracián, Lucas Castromán y Rolando Zárate.
ROCHA: Alvaro García, Matías González, Diego Bonelli, Diego Sosa, Diez Cis, Luis Maguregui, Martín González, Pablo Esquivel, Heber Caro, Pedro Cardozo y Marcelo Segales

Velez set to debut in the Copa Libertadores, against a very hard team, one of the best in Ecuador and with many players from the national team. Christian Mora is the goalkeeper from the ecuatorian national team, defenders Néicer Reasco, Giovanny Espinoza, Paul Ambrossi and midfielders Edison Méndez, Alfonso Obregón, Patricio Urrutia and worldwide known striker Agustin Delgado ("Tin Delgado").

The coach is a peruvian guy named Juan Carlos Oblitas and have in the squad a great player like peruvian midfielder "Chorri" Palacios.

In the local league, LDU defeated El Nacional 3-2, with 3 goals scored by "Chorri" Palacios and in the local league in three matches have won 2 and lost one.

Velez Sarsfield will play with the "gala" team, it means almost the best possible team, because Cubero was suspended for this match, being replaced by Ladino.

This match will be played at 2.850 meters in the attitude of Quito.

All the ecuatorian teams usually are very offensive, they play with many players with offensive mentality and in the 1st half they can score with ease.

LDU is a hard team with many good players, Roberto Palacios; Elkin Murillo y Agustín Delgado are very offensive players, they can score anytime.

Velez will be cautious, but against offensive teams the result havent been good, it is easy to remember 4-0 defeat in Mexico in the Copa Sudamericana against Pumas in the Copa Sudamericana semi-finals.

The best about Velez is Leandro Gracián; Lucas Castromán ,Rolando Zárate but in the argentinian championship they were too contained and only Zarate scored one goal against San Lorenzo in the first round.

My pick is OVER, I give a 65 percent confidence.

LDUQ: Christian Mora; Néicer Reasco, Carlos Espínola, Giovanny Espinoza, Paul Ambrossi; Alfonso Obregón, Patricio Urrutia, Edison Méndez, Roberto Palacios; Elkin Murillo and Agustín Delgado.

Velez:Gastón Sessa; Santiago Ladino, Maximiliano Pellegirno, Hernán Pellerano, Marcelo Bustamante; Maximilaino Bustos, Leandro Somoza, Ariel Broggi; Leandro Gracián; Lucas Castromán ,Rolando Zárate

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This is an interesting bet offered by www.5dimes.com. 3-4-1-2 is the tactical system used by bolivian team Bolívar. This is a hard team playing at home not for the players, but because it will be played in 3600 meters. Many argentinian players felt there, like Boca.

Bolivar have an invict of 30 matches playing at that ground, so it is very hard to lose at home.

The coach will put the best team, this team is being questioned by not scoring so easy, that-s the reason the coach will put experienced players like Menacho and Mercado in the attacking line.

The bolivian championship is due to start this weekend, Bolivar will play against Blooming, away.

Estudiantes will put a mixed team, with same player set to debut from start this season like Gelabert, Huerta, Cominges, Luguercio and Ortiz. They played some matches in the summer, the will replace some important players like Pavone, Esmerado, Galvan and Cáceres.

Estudiantes will play the derby match this weekend, so the coach will rest some important players.

This match will be very open, I think Estudiantes will be very defensive and they will put a close 4-4-2.

In all the matches in the argentinian league Estudiantes concealed goals, two in the last match, one against San Lorenzo and one against Instituto.

It is not as safe in the defense, and that is something Bolivar can seize.

I think a negative handicap on Bolivar is suggested but not more than -0.75. I give a 10/10 confidence.

Bolivar: Joel Zayas, Óscar Sánchez, Mores , André De Souza;Luis Torrico, Daner Pachi; Leonel Reyes, Carmelo Angulo ,Limberg Gutiérrez; Martín Menacho and Mercado

Estudiantes: Martín Herrera, Carlos Araujo, Fernando Ortiz, Juan Cáceres, Jorge Núñez, Marcos Gelabert, Juan Huerta, Rodrigo Braña, Paul Cominges, Pablo Luguercio, José Calderón

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