Velez will have this match at home, after a perfect record in Copa Libertadores, 3 matches, 3 wins, 2 wins were away (Against LDU 3-1 in Ecuador and last week in Peru against Universitario 1-0).

Velez will have many important changes in the first squad, because Leandro Gracian will be on the bench, being replaced by young player Dario Ocampo. Another changes will be Mariano Uglessich replacing Pellegrino (injured), but this player played against River and then was injured.

Remember goalkeeper Sessa is injured, also Centurion and Bustos (he was injured in the previous match), so the midfield will have Sena playing in the right. Another change will be Damian Escudero playing in the right, this young player played the previous match against Banfield (1-0).At least Somoza will play from start, giving a more balanced midfield.

Emmanuel Francou could be playing from start, but Castroman is sure to play from start.

Velez have 9 points, they are on top in Group 5, a win will put them in the next round, it is important to have a good record in the cup to play all the important matches at home in the following rounds.

Universitario is in big crisis, the coach is about to be sacked for almost more than one month.

For this match he made some changes (mainly in the defense) removing the team Captain Guadalupe (he is a central defender, played the previous match against Velez in Peru), and players like Bernales, Pereda, Flores and Maldonado.

He will put some young players to being able to get a positive result in Buenos Aires.

Some of the excluded players for this match are "waiting for a sad defeat" to sack the coach.

Not the best moment for Amador Sanchez to put a different squad against Velez this round.

Velez have received only 3 goals in Liniers this season (San Lorenzo, Gimnasia and River), then they have scored 7 goals + 3 goals against Rocha in Copa Libertadores.

About this formation, Velez is not desperate to win the match, they will have a good ball control like always, looking at the previous match played in Peru (even Velez won 1-0 and played very defensive) it was a very balanced match and both teams had some goal chances.

I think in my opinion there are more than 60 percent of chances of getting an UNDER betting match, mainly because Velez played last weekend, some players are new and adapting to the team like Escudero, Ocampo and Francou and they arent DESPERATE to win the match.

Looking at the stats this season, Velez had 7 UNDERS in the league, and 2 OVERS, in Copa Libertadores 2 OVER-s and 1 UNDER. At Home in 6 matches 4 UNDERS and 2 OVERS.

Universitario will bet to win the match, but Velez is undefeated at home this season, so it will be a miracle.

VELEZ: Peratta, Ladino, Alcaraz, Pellerano, Bustamante, Sena, Somoza, Escudero, Ocampo, Castroman, Mauro Zarate.

UNIVERSITARIO: Carvallo, Herrera, Lozada, Centurion, Moisela, Cevasco, Ruiz, Alonso, Alva, Sangoy, Maceratesi.

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